Elsewhere, ESPN has Notre Dame, Oregon, Texas, and Penn State with a >99 percent chance to make the CFP, and Georgia, Indiana have a 99 percent chance, Tennessee has a 98 percent chance, Ohio State has a 96 percent chance, SMU has a 69 percent chance, and Boise State has a 68 percent chance as of this article's publication.

The Vols are safely in the Playoff, may even get a home game, and they have a week off to start preparing. They will be playing with house money: They were not one of the SEC’s top four or even five most likely picks to make the Playoff.

This has been one of the most unpredictable and exciting college football seasons in recent memory. That makes things fun, but it can also make things confusing, especially when you're trying to figure out whether YOUR TEAM will be playing in its conference championship game.